{"id":15985,"date":"2025-03-31T23:03:40","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T23:03:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=15985"},"modified":"2025-03-31T23:56:50","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T23:56:50","slug":"poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=15985","title":{"rendered":"Poll Shots Supreme Court Race in Dead Heat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This post originally appeared at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bootsandsabers.com\/2025\/03\/31\/poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat\/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat\">https:\/\/www.bootsandsabers.com\/2025\/03\/31\/poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat\/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/wisconsin_now\/status\/1906781004192182459\">Interesting<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">BREAKING! Trafalgar just released a poll showing Schimel and Crawford in a statistical tie!<\/p>\n<p>Schimel 49.2% \u2013 Crawford 50.8%. 1083 Likely Voters, Margin of Error 2.9% <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/EQGEdOvoKy\">pic.twitter.com\/EQGEdOvoKy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Wisconsin Right Now (@wisconsin_now) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wisconsin_now\/status\/1906781004192182459?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 31, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I think everybody, including me, thought that Crawford was significantly ahead as recently as ten days ago. There is generally a structural 5%-10% structural advantage for liberals in Wisconsin in non-presidential elections. Crawford seemed to be cruising. Then, I think two things happened.<\/p>\n<p>First, and most obviously, Republicans successfully nationalized the race with a Trump endorsement and Musk stepping in to support Schimel. This countered the money advantage of the liberals and began to activate the Trump base \u2013 which is not reliable in off-cycle elections.<\/p>\n<p>Second, and more subtlety, the race for DPI began to narrow. The DPI has long been a fiefdom of the liberal teachers\u2019 unions. It almost didn\u2019t matter who ran against the union candidate, because they could turn out the votes in an April election to swamp anyone. But this year is different. The incumbent Jill Underly has been an abject failure. So much so that the normally Blue Wall of support is fractured. Governor Evers is tepid. Much of the Black electorate in Milwaukee is frustrated with her apathy toward educating black kids in their city. Even the liberal Madison State Journal endorsed her challenger, Brittany Kinser.<\/p>\n<p>Kinser is a Democrat, but she has run as an open-minded education advocate. She reached out to Republicans, Conservatives, School Choice supporters, and others who passionately support education, but have been ignored by DPI for decades. She touched a nerve.\u00a0Kinser\u2019s campaign has brought out people to vote who are motivated by education, but not as motivated by a judicial race.<\/p>\n<p>All of this has moved the momentum toward Schimel and Kinser. It\u2019s not a pure Red coalition. It is a coalition of Conservatives, Populists, MAGA, parents, and people terrified of their property taxes skyrocketing when a liberal court strikes down Act 10. But while the momentum has clearly shifted, that doesn\u2019t mean that the liberals won\u2019t still win. Schimel and Kinser have a significant uphill climb to win, but I would rather be them right now than Underly or Crawford.<\/p>\n<p>Get out and vote tomorrow if you haven\u2019t already. This race will be razor tight. Every vote matters.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"et_social_bottom_trigger\"><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This post originally appeared at https:\/\/www.bootsandsabers.com\/2025\/03\/31\/poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat\/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=poll-shots-supreme-court-race-in-dead-heat Interesting. BREAKING! Trafalgar just released a poll showing Schimel&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":385,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-boots-sabers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15985"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15986,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15985\/revisions\/15986"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/385"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}