{"id":6528,"date":"2023-10-19T18:06:23","date_gmt":"2023-10-19T18:06:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=6528"},"modified":"2023-10-19T19:11:49","modified_gmt":"2023-10-19T19:11:49","slug":"the-suspect-value-of-wisconsin-emissions-testing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=6528","title":{"rendered":"The suspect value of Wisconsin emissions testing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This post originally appeared at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.badgerinstitute.org\/the-suspect-value-of-wisconsin-emissions-testing\/\">https:\/\/www.badgerinstitute.org\/the-suspect-value-of-wisconsin-emissions-testing\/<\/a><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><em>Badger State stuck in never-ending federal program<\/em><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Every year, more than 600,000 Wisconsin vehicle owners in seven counties dutifully \u2014 if not happily \u2014 trudge out for their mandatory biennial emissions test.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Suspect-value-of-Wisconsin-emissions-testing-1024x720-1.jpg\" alt=\"$100 bills being expelled from the exhaust pipe of a Wisconsin automobile\" class=\"wp-image-48357\" style=\"width:388px;height:272px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>They\u2019re not the only ones with cause to complain. From its start in April 1984 through the 2022-2023 fiscal year, the program has cost taxpayers approximately $271.4 million, according to the state\u2019s Legislative Fiscal Bureau (LFB).<\/p>\n<p>Yet, for all of the millions of dollars, time spent and inconveniences imposed, it\u2019s nearly impossible to determine if the program meaningfully decreases exhaust emissions that form ozone and damage air quality.<\/p>\n<p>A Badger Institute investigation found that the program has been <a href=\"https:\/\/legis.wisconsin.gov\/lab\/reports\/02-6full.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">audit<\/a>ed just once in nearly four decades, by the Fiscal Bureau back in 2002. The state Legislature has not seriously attempted to eliminate or reform the emissions program, in large part because states cannot unilaterally eliminate emission-testing programs without obtaining a waiver from the EPA.<\/p>\n<p>Given a chance to respond to questions about the program, DOT officials made no attempt to defend the emissions program\u2019s overall effectiveness or explain the methodology it uses to contend that the program reduces certain emissions.<\/p>\n<p>The Badger Institute filed a formal public-records request, but so far has not received a reply.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Effectiveness questioned<\/h4>\n<p>In 2017, state Sen. Chris Kapenga (R-Delafield) sponsored Senate Bill 457 that would\u2019ve altered the emission-testing parameters, but it died in committee.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Kapenga would like to see the program eliminated. \u201cSpending taxpayers\u2019 money should provide a public benefit,\u201d Kapenga says. \u201cAnd there\u2019s no evidence of public benefit here. So why are we spending the money?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Emission tests are \u201cessentially a tax\u201d on lower-income people who often can\u2019t afford to make repairs when the cars they drive fail an emissions test, Kapenga says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ve also heard from people who own, say, a $2,000 car because their check-engine light is on, they need to make repairs that might cost more than what the car is worth, just so they can take the test.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople who are trying to get ahead and work their way up are getting pushed back down by public tax dollars spent on a program with no public benefit,\u201d he continues. \u201cThe program has become this bureaucracy that has ripple effects beyond just emissions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt has become a kind of religion for the environmental unreasonables.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>State Sen. Duey Stroebel (R-Saukville) agrees. \u201cThere\u2019s very little in the way of hard data to assess the efficacy of Wisconsin\u2019s vehicle inspection program,\u201d Stroebel says. \u201cThe hard data that does exist suggests that we have reached the point of diminishing returns in reducing ozone precursors through ever-stricter regulations.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vastly improved air quality<\/h4>\n<p>The program, implemented in 1984,\u00a0is mandatory in areas of 23 states that the federal government has long said have substandard air quality.<\/p>\n<p>Air quality today \u2014 aside from naturally occurring wildfires like those in Canada this summer \u2014 is significantly better than it was decades ago. Emission-reduction technology on today\u2019s vehicles is substantially improved. Millions of older, emission-belching vehicles that were the original target of emissions regulators have been off the road for decades.<\/p>\n<p>From 1970 to 2022, levels of carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxide and volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions from highway vehicles nationally have plummeted by 91%, 83% and 94% respectively, EPA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/air-emissions-inventories\/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">emissions data<\/a>\u202fshows.<\/p>\n<p>Those reductions occurred even as the United States\u2019 population, gross domestic product and vehicle miles traveled all increased exponentially.<\/p>\n<p>The same trends \u2014 pollutant reductions in the face of dramatic increases in vehicle traffic \u2014 occurred in Wisconsin from 1970 to 2018, according to Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (DNR) <a href=\"https:\/\/dnr.wisconsin.gov\/wnrmag\/2020\/Summer\/CleanAir\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Roughly<strong> <\/strong>94% of the state\u2019s population now lives in areas that meet even the increasingly stringent federal standards for air quality. By comparison, more than half of Wisconsinites in 1980 lived in areas with at least one air-quality violation, the website says.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Diminishing returns<\/h4>\n<p>According to the DOT\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisconsinvip.org\/WivipPublic\/PDF\/Downloads\/2021USEPAREPORT.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2021 Wisconsin Vehicle Inspection Program Annual Report<\/a>, just 3.1% of vehicles tested \u2014 or 19,673 out of 629,364 vehicles \u2014 failed to pass.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, from March through June 2020, during the early months of the pandemic with an arguably unprecedented drop in the number of cars on the road, DNR air-quality monitoring revealed only a \u201cslight drop\u201d in nitrogen oxide and carbon dioxide levels, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/widnr.widen.net\/s\/kdnkqvxxzl\/am620\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2022 Wisconsin Air Quality Trends Report<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Even back in 2010, a DOT <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wisconsinvip.org\/wivippublic\/PDF\/Downloads\/2010USEPAREPORTFINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wisconsin Vehicle Inspection Program Annual Report<\/a> conceded that a small number of vehicles in southeastern Wisconsin, so\u2010called \u201cgross polluters,\u201d were producing most of the vehicle pollution in the region.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Difficult to pinpoint emission sources<\/h4>\n<p>In its 2021 annual report, the DOT contends the emission-testing program is the state\u2019s \u201cmost significant vehicle emission reduction program and one that contributes to improved air quality in the entire upper Midwest.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The report said the program was responsible for an 11.6% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, a 6.9% drop in nitrogen oxide emissions and a 5.6% dip in VOC emissions. The data refers to emissions from light-duty vehicles measured on a typical summer weekday.<\/p>\n<p>The DOT arrived at those figures using an EPA modeling program, the report says.<\/p>\n<p>But a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2018-09\/documents\/_epaoig_20180925-18-p-0283.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a> published in 2018 by the EPA\u2019s Office of the Inspector General notes that modeling \u201cdoes not establish actual emission reductions achieved from inspection and maintenance programs\u201d and cannot be used as an evaluation tool to determine reductions in emissions and demonstrate compliance with EPA guidelines.<\/p>\n<p>Stroebel made a similar point, noting that DOT\u2019s \u201cunderlying methodology has serious flaws.\u201d In particular, the agency does a \u201cpoor job\u201d of differentiating where ozone originates, be it vehicles, industrial plants or out-of-state pollution that drifts into Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn 2018, the DNR \u2014 under (former governor) Scott Walker\u2019s administration\u202f\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/dnr.wisconsin.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/topic\/AirQuality\/OzoneTSD20170420.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">noted<\/a>\u202fin exhaustive detail to the EPA that \u2018the state\u2019s elevated ozone concentrations are the result of factors beyond the state\u2019s control, such as out-of-state emissions, geography and meteorology.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSimply put, I believe the proponents of the program conflate correlation with causation when it comes to attributing air quality improvements to the federal vehicle inspection mandate for ozone \u2018non-attainment\u2019 area,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Little support data<\/h4>\n<p>The EPA itself finds it difficult to determine the effectiveness of emission testing. The report from the EPA\u2019s Office of the Inspector General noted that nine of the 23 states running emission-testing programs in 2018 did not conduct mandated biennial program evaluations aimed at assessing how well the programs reduced vehicle emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Another four states didn\u2019t conduct mandated, so-called on-road testing to evaluate emissions. And three other states failed to conduct required reviews and tests because of \u201ca lack of clarity in the EPA\u2019s guidance on program evaluation and on-road testing methodologies.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The report doesn\u2019t name the states, so it\u2019s not known if Wisconsin was among those studied.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs a result of states failing to meet the program evaluation and\/or on-road testing requirements, the EPA lacks data to determine the effectiveness of enhanced vehicle inspection and maintenance programs,\u201d the report said.<\/p>\n<p>Objective studies also indicate it\u2019s difficult to determine just how much of overall emissions come from vehicles.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHuman behavior and lack of complete evidence confound the estimation of emissions reductions at every turn,\u201d the non-government, non-profit National Research Council (NRC) Committee on Vehicle Emission Inspection and Maintenance Programs stated in <a href=\"https:\/\/nap.nationalacademies.org\/catalog\/10133\/evaluating-vehicle-emissions-inspection-and-maintenance-programs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a report<\/a> as far back as 2001. \u201cThe components of emissions reductions arising from an I\/M (inspection and maintenance) program\u2026are very difficult to estimate.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s very difficult to figure out if emission tests make a difference,\u201d says Nicholas J. Sanders, director of graduate studies at Cornell University\u2019s Brooks School of Public Policy. Sanders is the co-author of a 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/harris.uchicago.edu\/files\/sanders_sandler_smog_checks_paper.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">study<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you test a vehicle once, do a repair if needed and then test it again, in theory it shows the problem has been fixed,\u201d Sanders says. \u201cBut there are a lot of reasons why that may not translate into big or noticeable differences when we talk about air quality.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Shift focus to older vehicles<\/h4>\n<p>Vehicles older than 15 years emit most of the bad emissions and vehicles older than 10 make up for most of the rest, even though these older cars represent a small percentage of all vehicles on the road, the report says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cImportantly, they (emission-testing programs) fail to target the substantial pollution from older vehicles,\u201d the report notes. \u201cThis raises an important question: should we complement exhaust standards with other policies that could prove more effective at reducing transport emissions, especially by encouraging the early retirement of the oldest, dirtiest cars?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In Wisconsin, an average of 8.2% of the cars from model years 1996 through 2009 failed an emission test in 2021in the state, according to a Badger Institute analysis of the data from the DOT\u2019s 2021 emission program annual report.<\/p>\n<p>But an average of only 1.6% of the cars from model years 2010 through 2019 failed and from the model years 2016 through 2019, the failure rate was <em>below 1%<\/em>, according to the report.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">No end in sight<\/h4>\n<p>The state, unfortunately, is at the mercy of the EPA, which continues to make its clean-air regulations more stringent, Stroebel says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s frustrating to have to explain to constituents who complain about the program that our hands are tied at the state level and that it will take an act of Congress \u2014 and a willing state and federal executive branch \u2014 to release the Clean Air Act\u2019s unjustified stranglehold on the seven-county area,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis problem is exacerbated each time the EPA decides to tighten the national air quality standards, which are set without regard for cost or feasibility \u2014 it\u2019s a prime example of federal coercion in action,\u201d Stroebel says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe were going to try to get a waiver from the EPA, but as we worked through the process, Tony Evers was elected as governor and went off-the-charts crazy about environmental concerns,\u201d Kapenga says. \u201cSo, there was a zero-percent chance we could get a waiver approved.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo now we just have to kind of hang tight and wait until we can get a Republican-controlled state and a Washington controlled by Republicans that hopefully can get the waiver through.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A vehicle emission test primer<\/h4>\n<p>The state Department of Transportation implemented emission-testing program in April 1984, for seven counties where ozone levels still don\u2019t meet standards set by the federal Clean Air Act, enacted in 1970.<\/p>\n<p>The affected counties were Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine, Washington and Waukesha. Sheboygan County was added in 1993.<\/p>\n<p>A one-cent-per-gallon tax on petroleum product sales, called the Petroleum Inspection Fund (PIF), pays for the emissions program.<\/p>\n<p>The state currently pays Opus Inspection Inc. about $2.6 million a year to manage about 200 private testing facilities and train technicians to perform the tests. The Department of Motor Vehicles audits test equipment to assure accuracy.<\/p>\n<p>Emission tests are required every other year; vehicles must pass in order for owners to renew their license-plate registrations. Vehicles from model years 1996 through 2006 and with a gross vehicle weight of 8,501 pounds or less must get tested. Vehicles from model years 2007 and newer and weighing up to 14,000 pounds also must get tested.<\/p>\n<p>Vehicles that don\u2019t pass must be repaired and get retested. Vehicle owners are responsible for the cost of emission-related repairs, up to $1,053 as of July, 2023. That figure is adjusted annually and car owners can apply for a repair waiver if the cost of repairs exceeds the limit.<\/p>\n<p>Emission tests originally were available at 12 state-owned testing centers. But in 2012, officials decided it was more cost-effective to have individual facilities \u2014 such as car dealerships, independent repair shops and other facilities \u2014 perform the tests. This was good news for those facilities, which could offer to repair vehicles that didn\u2019t pass an emission test.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, the state said that closing the testing centers would save about $600,000 annually.<\/p>\n<p><em>Ken Wysocky is a Milwaukee-area freelance journalist and editor with more than 40 years of journalism experience.<\/em><\/p>\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elfsight-app-996a0fda-002f-4b80-8df8-d0969c986500\"><\/div>\n<p>The post <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.badgerinstitute.org\/the-suspect-value-of-wisconsin-emissions-testing\/\">The suspect value of Wisconsin emissions testing<\/a> appeared first on <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.badgerinstitute.org\">Badger Institute<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This post originally appeared at https:\/\/www.badgerinstitute.org\/the-suspect-value-of-wisconsin-emissions-testing\/ Badger State stuck in never-ending federal program Every year,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":60,"featured_media":6530,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-badger-institute"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/60"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6528"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6528\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6531,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6528\/revisions\/6531"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6530"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}