{"id":7033,"date":"2023-11-12T03:20:31","date_gmt":"2023-11-12T04:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=7033"},"modified":"2023-11-12T05:04:36","modified_gmt":"2023-11-12T05:04:36","slug":"10-interesting-things-in-the-new-marquette-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/?p=7033","title":{"rendered":"10 Interesting Things in the New Marquette Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"

This post originally appeared at https:\/\/www.wisconsinrightnow.com\/10-interesting-things-in-the-new-marquette-poll\/<\/a><\/p>\n

\"New<\/p>\n

Here are 10 interesting findings in the new Marquette poll<\/a> this week that you might not have heard about.<\/p>\n

You\u2019ve probably heard mostly about the topline findings<\/a> in the new Wisconsin poll; namely that Biden would beat Trump by 2% but would lose to Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley, with Haley being the strongest Republican choice. Republicans have lost the abortion issue and women especially care a lot about it. But Trump is favored for his handling of the economy and is also perceived as stronger on the border and foreign policy, all issues with a lot of currency right now.<\/p>\n

However, buried in the crosstabs are some interesting findings that you might not have read about. They show some weakness for Democrats with some of their key constituency groups, providing openings for Trump and\/or another Republican nominee.<\/p>\n

1. Voters don\u2019t like the idea of redrawing the redistricting maps<\/h2>\n

The poll shows the Democratic glee for redrawing redistricting maps could backfire on them, especially if the liberal court redraws the maps, forcing everyone\u2019s legislative votes to be essentially invalidated. Most Wisconsinites are not with them. Democrats risk overplaying their hand on this.<\/p>\n

Both genders and all age groups except the youngest voters think the current maps should stay in place. Only Democrats like the idea of redrawing them. It\u2019s not popular with independents or Republicans. Every ethnic group opposes redrawing the maps. It\u2019s unpopular everywhere except Madison and Milwaukee.<\/p>\n

2. Democrats have lost Hispanics<\/h2>\n

Hispanics have turned against Biden and Democrats in a big way in this poll.<\/p>\n

59% of Hispanics would pick Trump compared to 28% for Biden, with 13 percent undecided.<\/p>\n

Only 32% of Hispanics think Evers is doing a good job. 59% do not. Hispanic voters also have a more unfavorable opinion of Tammy Baldwin than a favorable one.<\/p>\n

3. Young voters and independents aren\u2019t thrilled with Tammy Baldwin, and neither are voters under 60<\/h2>\n

U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin is showing some weakness. For example, on favorability ratings, slightly more young people have an unfavorable opinion of her than a favorable one.<\/p>\n

She\u2019s also upside down with men and with people ages 30-59. Only elderly people have a more favorable than unfavorable opinion of her.<\/p>\n

Independents don\u2019t like her either, with only 28% having a favorable opinion compared to 48% unfavorable. Hispanics don\u2019t like her either. She\u2019s upside down with them too.<\/p>\n

4. The \u201centhusiasm gap\u201d favors Republicans<\/h2>\n

Everyone knows that it\u2019s not just how people are polling that matters; it\u2019s who gets their voters to the polls. And this time around, at least in this poll, Republicans have a slight edge in the \u201centhusiasm gap.\u201d<\/p>\n

The percentage of people who said they were \u201cvery enthusiastic\u201d about voting for president was highest for Republicans with leaners as independents, leaners as partisans, and without leaners. For example, 55% of Republicans were very enthusiastic, compared to 51% of those who lean Republican, 34% of independents, 37% who lean Democratic, and 44% who are Democrats.<\/p>\n

Asked another way, 73% of people who are very conservative are very enthusiastic about voting compared to 36% of very liberal people.<\/p>\n

5. Almost everyone disapproves of how Biden is doing his job<\/h2>\n

Biden\u2019s unfavorable ratings are remarkably bad. Everyone except Democrats thinks he\u2019s doing badly. He\u2019s upside down with men and women, with all age groups, with all education levels, and all income levels. Only in the partisan category does he find a group that thinks he\u2019s doing a better job than not \u2013 Democrats. Blacks also favor Biden but even with that core Democratic demographic group 31% do not think he\u2019s doing a good job.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s even lost people in labor unions,<\/p>\n

6. Did we mention? Democratic support among labor is soft<\/h2>\n

More than half of labor union members polled did not approve of the job Biden is doing.<\/p>\n

Labor union respondents have an unfavorable opinion of Tammy Baldwin.<\/p>\n

Although this is not true across the board, Democrats are showing some weakness with labor in a variety of categories in this poll.<\/p>\n

7.\u00a0 Almost no one thinks the state is on the right track \u2013 especially black Wisconsinites \u2013 but women don\u2019t blame it on Tony Evers<\/h2>\n

Almost no one thinks the state is on the right track. That\u2019s true of both genders, all age groups, all education and income levels, and all ethnic groups (blacks were most likely to think the state is on the wrong track.)<\/p>\n

Only Democrats think the state is on the right track, and over 40% of them don\u2019t either.<\/p>\n

Evers benefits from a huge gender gap. More men don\u2019t approve of how he\u2019s doing his job, but more women do approve. Weirdly, even 12 percent of Republicans like the job Evers is doing.<\/p>\n

8. Never Trumpers could sink the presidential election<\/h2>\n

Never Trumpers seem to be alive and kicking. 10 percent of people who are \u201cvery conservative\u201d would vote for Joe Biden over Trump! That\u2019s also true of a combined 15% of people who are Republican or lean Republican.<\/p>\n

If Trump is the nominee, the Republican Party and Trump have some work to do to get conservatives\/Republicans to not vote for the Democrat. But this also presents an opportunity.<\/p>\n

9. Trump has stronger support among Blacks than is normal for a Republican<\/h2>\n

When leaners are counted, Trump gets 28% of the Black vote. That\u2019s compared to 48% of the white vote and 62% of Hispanics. According to Pew Research Center<\/a>, only about one-in-ten Black adults identify with or lean toward the Republican Party.<\/p>\n

10. No one cares that liberal Janet Protasiewicz talked about her views on issues<\/h2>\n

Judges aren\u2019t supposed to take stands on issues that might come before the court. Maybe if the question had been asked that exact way, the answer would have been different.<\/p>\n

The poll asked, \u201cShould judicial candidates discuss during campaigns issues likely to come before them if elected so voters know what the candidates stand for, or should they avoid talking about such issues in order not to seem to be pre-judging the issues?\u201d<\/p>\n

Most voters think they should discuss issues \u2013 by very wide margins \u2013 and that\u2019s also true of Republicans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This post originally appeared at https:\/\/www.wisconsinrightnow.com\/10-interesting-things-in-the-new-marquette-poll\/ Here are 10 interesting findings in the new Marquette…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":7035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7033","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-wi-right-now"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7033","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7033"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7033\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7036,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7033\/revisions\/7036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7033"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7033"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wifamily.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7033"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}