This post originally appeared at https://wisconsindailystar.com/news/poll-wisconsin-voters-evenly-split-between-trump-and-harris/tcsquare/2024/11/01/

by Dan McCaleb

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in a dead heat in Wisconsin, the latest polling shows.

In a two-way race, both candidates garner 48% support, with 2% still undecided, according to the American Greatness-TIPP poll of 831 likely voters in the state, conducted Oct. 28-30.

When third party candidates are included, Harris holds a one point advantage, 48% to 47%, which is within the poll’s +-3.5% margin of error. Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who bowed out of the race in August and endorsed Trump, remains on the ballot in Wisconsin and garnered 3% support among those polled.

In an Oct. 3 American Greatness-TIPP poll, Harris led Trump by 3.5 points in a head-to-head matchup and by 2.8 points in a multi-candidate race, pollster Raghavan Mayur said, noting that Trump has the momentum just days before the Nov. 5 election.

“Based on 2020 and 2016, I expect Trump to win Wisconsin,” Mayur told The Center Square. “Trump always outperforms in Wisconsin, and this could be because of silent voters.”

Wisconsin voters also were asked about the tight race between incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican challenger Eric Hovde.

Baldwin holds a slight 48% to 46% advantage in the poll, again within the margin of error. That’s a big improvement for Hovde, who trailed by 9 percentage points in the Oct. 3 American Greatness-TIPP poll.

Other recent polls also have showed the Wisconsin U.S. Senate race tightening.

“The Senate race has tightened significantly,” Mayur said. “If there is a good ground game, Hovde can pull out an upset. Nail-biting finish.”

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​Dan McCaleb is the executive editor of The Center Square. He welcomes your comments. Contact Dan at dmccaleb@thecentersquare.com.
Photo “Donald Trump” by Team Trump. Photo “Kamala Harris” by Kamala Harris.

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