This post originally appeared at https://www.bootsandsabers.com/2025/04/01/a-few-early-election-thoughts/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=a-few-early-election-thoughts

Well, darn. It looks like the liberal will win the Supreme Court race. This will have terrible, long-term impacts on Wisconsin. The more pro-education candidate may yet win the DPI race. We’ll see. That would be a marginal improvement, but a win is a win. Thankfully, the Voter ID Amendment will pass. Huzzah. A few thoughts…

Wisconsin is a liberal state. It just is. It leans liberal by 5%-10%. Yes, those people are crammed into a few areas, but there are more of them. It was more even ten years ago, but migration (conservatives out to low tax states and liberals in to work/school in Madison) has changed it. A Conservative like Walker is unlikely to win a statewide race any time soon. A populist like Trump can pull it off.

The Supreme Court race was completely nationalized. This needed to happen for Schimel to have a chance, but it also obliterated the dynamic of a race about issues. It wasn’t about a liberal court usurping power and turning back the clock by illegally invalidating Act 10, Wisconsin’s abortion law, redistricting, etc. etc. etc. It became Pro Trump v. Anti Trump. And while Trump won Wisconsin a few months ago, it was against perhaps the second worse presidential candidate of all time. Crawford was even able to blunt the correct attack on her as a weak-on-crime liberal judge with a bunch of lies about Schimel’s record.

The liberals have won the recent supreme court elections with a proven formula. They run a woman. The abortion issue favors them and the liberal court smartly kept that issue alive for this election. And they overtly promise things to constituent groups – kill School Choice to the teachers; kill Act 10 to the unions; gerrymander districts for the Dem machine; who knows what else. Yes, she had proxies make the promises to keep her hands clean, but promises were made. You can hate the new rules or you can play by them.

The state Republican leadership needs to go. All of them. And they need to move the state party HQ out of Madison to a red area. They have one job – to win elections – and they suck at it. If they are going to get serious about winning elections, they need to absolutely gut the state party and get some competent people in there.

It is going to be interesting to see what happens to the voting patterns in a post-Trump era. He has a unique ability to activate the liberal base. I suspect that will get more difficult for Democrats when Trump is no longer on the scene, but that is likely several years away.

I’m disappointed in you, Wisconsin, but I understand you.